Alibaba (BABA) stock consensus forecasts for 2026.
Last update: 10/15/2024, 12:13 AM
Brief information about Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Last trading day: 01/01/1970
Analyst forecast price: $125.88
52-week high/low: $119.69 / $69.15
Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Limited are traded on the stock exchange under the ticker BABA and belong to the "Consumer cyclical" sector. The head office is currently located at: 26/F TOWER ONE, TIMES SQUARE, 1 MATHESON STREET, CAUSEWAY BAY, HK. The market capitalization of Alibaba is $191 721 587 000. At the same time, the number of shares in circulation is 2 546 780 000. The company's earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation for last year (called EBITDA) was 179 743 998 000$. The company has a good profit. The PE ratio according to the latest reporting is at around 10.59. P/E shows the investor how many years his investment in this business pays off. That is, investments in Alibaba shares will pay off in about 11 years. In principle, this is a good indicator, but it is worth looking at these shares only for a long time.
Alibaba (BABA) Forecast for 2026
After collecting analyst forecasts for Alibaba stock for 2026, we made one consensus forecast. For clarity, we will immediately build a forecast chart for 2026, which will include historical data on Alibaba stock prices. The gray color on the chart shows the historical price. The turquoise color shows the price forecast with a possible range of fluctuations.
The maximum share price target for 2026 is $123.33. This represents upside potential of 7.68% from current levels. The average return per month can be 0.3%.
The lowest price level the stock can fall to in 2026 is $86.57. From the current price, the drop will be 32.3%.
Thus, in the period from the current date until the end of 2026, it is possible to form a channel with a resistance level of $123.33 and a support level of $86.57. The width of this channel is $36.76. According to the theory of technical analysis, a downward breakdown of the channel will open the way to $50. If the resistance level is broken, then the road to $160 per share of Alibaba will open.
What is the probability of exiting the channel up? Alibaba shares will remain close to resistance levels for 3 months from today until the end of 2026. This suggests that the probability of breaking through the resistance level is quite small. If stocks break through the $123.33 resistance level and try to gain a foothold above it, then in the future they will most likely test this level from above and if the $123.33 mark holds, then this will be a new channel with new goals.
How about testing the strength of the support level? The price will remain near the support level for 1 month. Breaking through the resistance level is unlikely.
In addition, the real future price of one Alibaba share can be both higher and lower than the target forecast price, but approximately in the range between the pessimistic and optimistic target price.
| Month | Mid | Low | High | Range, % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | 104.15 | 98.88 | 108.62 | 8.97 % |
| February 2026 | 108.16 | 99.47 | 112.80 | 11.81 % |
| March 2026 | 108.52 | 103.26 | 112.34 | 8.08 % |
| April 2026 | 116.99 | 110.30 | 122.27 | 9.79 % |
| May 2026 | 113.00 | 110.39 | 119.22 | 7.40 % |
| June 2026 | 105.54 | 99.16 | 113.09 | 12.32 % |
| July 2026 | 98.11 | 91.64 | 102.32 | 10.44 % |
| August 2026 | 100.27 | 92.44 | 103.80 | 10.94 % |
| September 2026 | 94.43 | 90.69 | 100.66 | 9.91 % |
| October 2026 | 92.04 | 86.57 | 97.20 | 10.94 % |
| November 2026 | 99.12 | 95.63 | 107.52 | 11.05 % |
| December 2026 | 109.59 | 101.27 | 112.73 | 10.16 % |
Forecast for January 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $98.88 to $108.62. The width of this range will be $9.74 (8.97%). The average price is $104.15, which is $3.97 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for February 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $99.47 to $112.80. The width of this range will be $13.33 (11.81%). The average price is $108.16, which is $4.01 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for March 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $103.26 to $112.34. The width of this range will be $9.07 (8.08%). The average price is $108.52, which is $0.36 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for April 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $110.30 to $122.27. The width of this range will be $11.97 (9.79%). The average price is $116.99, which is $8.47 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for May 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $110.39 to $119.22. The width of this range will be $8.83 (7.40%). The average price is $113.00, which is $3.99 less than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for June 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $99.16 to $113.09. The width of this range will be $13.93 (12.32%). The average price is $105.54, which is $7.46 less than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for July 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $91.64 to $102.32. The width of this range will be $10.68 (10.44%). The average price is $98.11, which is $7.43 less than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for August 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $92.44 to $103.80. The width of this range will be $11.36 (10.94%). The average price is $100.27, which is $2.16 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for September 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $90.69 to $100.66. The width of this range will be $9.97 (9.91%). The average price is $94.43, which is $5.85 less than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for October 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $86.57 to $97.20. The width of this range will be $10.63 (10.94%). The average price is $92.04, which is $2.39 less than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for November 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $95.63 to $107.52. The width of this range will be $11.89 (11.05%). The average price is $99.12, which is $7.09 higher than the average price of the previous month.
Forecast for December 2026.
It is predicted that the price of one Alibaba share in will be in the range of $101.27 to $112.73. The width of this range will be $11.45 (10.16%). The average price is $109.59, which is $10.47 higher than the average price of the previous month.
